GW : Some "unpredictable effects" and how can global warming be a spark for world war III ?

Global warming with some unpredictable effects :

Global warming has started at a very high pace in past few decades as compared to early decades. Over the past century the average temperature of earth has increased by 0.7 degrees which may seem to be a small data until we come across the fact that the difference between average earth temperature of today and that of another ice age is merely 5 degrees.

Global warming can result in many outcomes not good for our earth like Drought, Flooding, Disease, Hurricanes, Starvation, Unbearable Heat. And the most alarming incident is that the "Larsen B Ice Shelf" which was predicted not to be affected till the upcoming 100 years also, even after the current GW trends, and was having a mass of nearly 500 tons, was 220m thick, and was nearly 3,250 sq km in area, disintegrated in 35 days. There are two more ice masses very much bigger than this one which are also exhibiting the same global warming trend.These days, global warming has become a very hot topic of discussion amongst not only for the scientists, but also for the politicians.




Global warming and the war :

By far, the two areas widely responsible for the emission of the greenhouse gases viz. CO2 are western europe and United States. But the burnt of the effects of these emissions are always seen on the countries least responsible for these.
On the other hand it is predicted that with the growing economy of india and china, soon their emission rate of CO2 will surpass that of US.
American legislators, in a meeting held in 2007, demanded that the greenhouse gas emission of the developing nation must be the same as that of developed nation which further led to the worldwide accusations of shameless hypocrisy leveled at the United States, which was obvious. We have seen how suspiciously US targeted Iraq for the justification of its invasion. In fact with the growing economy of India and China and America's demands of exclusive rights to the pre-emptive skills, the day is not very far when US may target these countries also.
After all, US is the only country that connected the two events i.e. its invasion of Iraq and the incident of 9/11 so professionally in front of the world, that a day may come in near times when it will target the Countries like India and China and name them as Asian giants, creating a huge emission of greenhouse gas which would be affecting its coastal areas and hence amount to an act of war. Already till now, US claims that the Asian giants view Washington's demands concerning greenhouse gases suspiciously.
Also these two countries viz. India and China are more likely to be at US target because unlike Iraq, these two countries are much more advanced in nuclear power and are expected to reach near to US nuclear power which is definitely catched by the eyes of US these days.
Its predicted that world war III can result out of the cold wars taking place these days between these countries and the burning climate may result in the burning of the world due to the war.

ND : koshi river - "sorrow of bihar" or "sorrow of Nepal"

Its a known fact that the river koshi, emerging from the himalayas in Nepal, flowing through Northern Bihar, has always been a curse for the man made barricades & embankments & that has made countless people homeless, or even dead.
If we go to the saying of the welll-informed people, some of who even knows about rivers and dams, we can easily predict that it is not a natural, but a man-made disaster...in other words-KOSHI.
Althouth the government at various levels are helping the flood victims, still it is very much less than the sufficient effort required.
Given below is a report of the analytical monthly review, kharagpur , which is a sister edition of monthly review & its sep 08 issue had the following editorial Carefully go throuth it to channelise your material support :

We know that the immediate future holds the certainty of severe climate change, and an ever increasing strain on not only the much publicised issue of reserves of fossil fuels but also on the basic vital environmental resource of fresh water. Nowhere in the world is the margin so slight between the daily life of tens of crores and mass disaster as in the plains and deltas of the Ganges and Brahmaputra. A storm or a draught, excessive or inadequate rainfall, will have a “natural” cause, but the ensuing disaster — and even more the response — is the product of social practices and historical events. A clear instance is the flooding of the River Koshi, and the resulting massive disaster over half of Bihar and the Sunsari district of Nepal. Parts of Assam and Orissa, as well as much of West Bengal and the nation of Bangladesh, also face flooding in almost every monsoon. Though there may be reasons for events that depend on the unique geography of a sub-region, the common environment and social history entail a shared danger, and require a shared response if ever more terrible disasters are not to overwhelm the region — however remote the prospect of rational social action may appear at the moment. But first the myth must be demolished that immediately declares the climate event a natural calamity, for which the rulers are not responsible and about which nothing can be done except some temporary relief.

The Koshi River is notorious for its unstable dynamic character, and for its frequent floods. The river drains the southern face of the Himalaya through the entire eastern third of Nepal, from the Nepal border with Sikkim and the Kanchenjunga massif west to the regions north of the Kathmandu valley. The Koshi enters Bihar and merges into Ganges. The steady gradual erosion of the relatively “young” Himal mountain chain occurs throughout the immense fan-shaped drainage basin, and the river Koshi carries a part of this load as sediment. This sediment is deposited every year in the Nepali Terai and Bihar where the river slows down after racing through the mountain valleys. As silt accumulates the previous route of the river is blocked, floods result, and the river finds new channels to meet the Ganges. In historical time the river has moved over great distances; in the last 250 years the Koshi has shifted over a distance of 112 kms from Purnea in the east to Saharsa in the west. The question of whether or not to try to capture the river within embankments so as to check the shift as well as to control flood became a subject of discussion long before Independence. It was well understood early in the 20th century that the existence of embankments often increased the adverse effect of floods. Absent embankments floods were frequent but not severe, the land benefited from the sediment deposited, and housing could be constructed on slightly higher ground (or even on stilts) so as to remain habitable in all but the most severe floods. The 1937 Bihar Flood Conference centered on the “Embankments versus No embankments” debate.

Two characteristics of the new Indian governing class after Independence set the course that resulted in the Koshi disaster of 2008: the illusory pursuit of development without social revolution by means of gigantic technological projects (such as massive dams), and the imposition of (sub)imperialist control over the Himalayan nations of Nepal, Sikkim, and Bhutan. In 1950 an ambitious multipurpose project was prepared to moderate floods, generate hydropower, to irrigate land in both India and Nepal, and provide navigation facilities in a reservoir and the river downstream. The project envisioned that the land to be flooded and the barrages to be built would all be on the Nepal side of the border. Obtaining agreement from Nepal was obviously a problem, but in 1954 the Nepal government of M.P. Koirala, generally agreed to be the most subservient government to India in the second half of the 20th century, was compelled to sign the Koshi agreement. The Indians obtained “extraterritorial” rights within Nepal.

The barrage building engineering knowledge was wholly based on rivers of Europe and North America not subject to extensive silting. And the project was inaugurated in March 1955 by the President of India, who had himself expressed the view in 1937 Bihar Flood Conference that the silt brought down by a river descending from the Himalayan range would be on a scale different from anything experienced elsewhere. The Koshi was barraged at Bhimnagar on the Nepal-India border, and management entrusted explicitly and exclusively to the Government of Bihar. Long levees were built on both sides upstream of the barrage to guide the water to the barrage, there to feed two large irrigation canals. Downstream, another 125 km of embankments were constructed to the south to safeguard eastern Bihar from floods. For 50 years the Koshi has deposited its silt, which previously had been deposited over a wide region, on its bed between the confining embankments. As the bed was raised, the embankments were raised as well. And by a gradual but inexorable process, the Koshi came to flow on what was now a plateau up to five metres higher than the surrounding plains of Terai and Bihar.

As a result of these measures, 386 villages spread across the four districts of Saharsa, Supaul, Madhubani, and Darbhanga, and over eight lakhs of cultivators were trapped within the embankments of the Koshi, whose waters pass over these villages every year at the end of the monsoon. This is a land of utter misery, lacking electricity, roads, hospitals, cinema house, bank, block, or any other government office. And outside the embankments the flood control measures have been a total failure. Eklavya Prasad of Megh Pyne Abhiyan, a recognized expert, has estimated that the flood-prone area of Bihar has tripled since the construction of the Koshi barrage. The record of the Government of Bihar in maintaining the embankments has been one of scandalous corruption and failure. Embankments were breached in Dalwa (Nepal) in 1963, Jamalpur (Darbhanga) in 1968, Bhatania (Supaul) in 1971, Bahuarwa (Saharsa) in 1980, Hempur (Saharsa) in 1984, and Joginia (Nepal) in 1991. For the Bihari politicians the resulting floods were a welcome opportunity for theft and extortion.

On August 18, 2008, and at a time of relatively moderate flow of the Koshi, the embankment was breached in Western Kusaha Panchayat in Nepal. The Government of Bihar failed to respond, and this time the damage became in all probability irreversible. The Koshi spilled out of the plateau it had been permitted to build and immediately inundated four Panchayats of Sunsari district in Nepal, with a population of some 35,000. The river now spread out to the east through Bihar, seeking its old channels on its way to the Ganges. Blocked on the west from its bed by its towering embankments, and from a direct route to the south by raised roadways, the river created an inland sea. The Koshi did not break through to the Ganges until well into September. By this time official sources acknowledged that 35 lakh people have been flooded out, and the true figure is surely far higher. The response of the Bihar and Union governments has been worse than inadequate, verging on the criminal. Deaths number in the thousands, and continue in the improvised camps where water and food are scarce, and disease flourishes. As you can see, neither the flood nor the response were a “natural calamity” but one squarely the result of the acts and omissions of the rulers of India and Bihar over the last fifty years, continuing to this very moment.

In this stench of death and failure of the Indian post-Independence regime, came the first hint of a better future. Nepal Prime Minister Prachanda said after a visit to Sunsari, one of his first tasks as PM, that the Indo-Nepal Treaty of 1954 was“a historical blunder.” Indian promises to Nepal in the 1954 Koshi agreement (and its subsequent amendments) of benefits have without exception turned out to be lies. The irrigated land lies (today submerged) within India, “concessional” electric power is charged for at high rates, payment for Nepali lands submerged or leased has not been made after many decades, promised roads were not built by India, and maintenance of the embankments — and the embankments themselves — collapsed. See SB Pun, “Kosi River: From ‘Sorrow of Bihar’ to ‘Sorrow of Nepal?’” Spotlight, Sept 5, 2008.

source of this post : click here

GW : Bon Jovi & Amitabh Bachchan together in Live Earth concert

Expectations become high, & there's alwaz a probability of a blast, when a famous rockstar and a famous superstar comes together on a single stage. This time the rockstar is none other than Bon Jovi & superstar is our very own Amitabh Bachchan on the stage of Live earth concert in Mumbai, a to be held show for the stress on the use of solar power for lightening the lives of billion.


The eyes of whole world will be on this concert when the music extravaganza will be all set & ready to get unfolded. Last year, the live earth concert was held in four continents and 150 acts were performed in the span of a 24 hr period of time. this year only one act will be performed with a hope of delivering the message to the developing countries. The concert's proceedings will go to charities viz. "light a billion lives" which is a N.P. organisation headed by Dr Rajendra K Pachauri, who shared the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize with Gore for sounding the alarm on global warming.

GW : india to host a new "live earth concerts" - AFP

AFP says : organizers announced this Thursday, India is going to host a live earth concert this year featuring stars from the music industry, television and the film. The event will take place on 7th of December, this year. Live earth founder Kevin Wall predicts this event as one of the major events on T.V.

"If you're alive in India, somewhere, somehow, you can see or hear or become part of this event," he told while addressing a news conference. The show will be telecasted live in nearly 100 countries. Indian film industry milestone Amitabh Bacchan would also be participating in this event alongwith his family. It's creative director will be the famous director of India - Shekhar Kapur.

Motive behind the concert :

It is being held with a sharp intention of providing solar-powered lanterns to nearly 1.6 billion people in the world who live without electricity.
India was chosen as the venue no only because it is having the world's largest democracy, or the oldest civilization, but also it is emerging as a developed economy on the global stage, & that is y it is supposed to play a tremendous leadership role in 21st century. Also it could combin its traditions with the latest technical world to help cut of the greenhouse gas emission, states the noble peace prize laureate. Also added that all the proceedings from the Live India will help enlighten life of billions.

"The glacires melt, floods, and the rest climate change are not done by india, it is essentially the by- product of the industrialized world. Poor countries of the world are not responsible for these". Says Pachauri, who with the IPCC shared the 2007 Nobel with Gore. He also added that India will show the way by joining hands with the poorest of the world.

GW : pollution in Asia - effect in America !!!!

Strange to engulf this topic but the truth really lies behind. The pollution in Asia can really affect the climate in America. According to the authors of a recent federal science report, “ burning wood and kerosene, and driving trucks and cars generate most of these shorter-term particles that can cause more localized warming.” The authors also added that there should be an action plan that must be efficient to attack this type of pollution for rapid results.

According to this report, smog, soot, dust and other perticulate matters that are often seen over the cities of China increase the global warming to a larger extent and surprisingly, can increase the temperature of Heartland, USA by about 3 degrees in 5 decades.

According to the reports of NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, this report was definitely stressing the control of short term pollutants, while urging that CO2 is still the predominent cause of the global warming.

About the short term pollutants :

The short-term pollutants is more seen in Asian countries which is mostly mixed in air by the use of biofuels and kerosenes for e.g. cowdung, wood etc. These short-term pollutants, unlike other pollutants like CO2, are visible to the people. These pollutants, apart from the soot, smog and sulphates, include organic carbon, dust and nitrates.

Suggestions from some scientists :

The scientists suggested that the government of united states should give the priority to reduce the emissions of vehicles like trucks and cars, over the restriction on the coal burning power plants. Also they suggested countries like China and India to start using the CERs i.e. the clean energy resources more and more.

GW : Disasters Getting Worse - Is global warming really to blame ??

Estimated loss of nearly 3 million US $ has been recorded and many people, nearly a million become homeless in US due to Hurricane Gustav. A massive earthquake hit the southwest china and smashed nearly 4 lakhs of home. Richter scale measured this earthquake 6.2. A very pathetic flood in northern india have left million of people homeless there. These are all current disasters which are recorded on a larger scale.



Disasters - Their facts and figures :

As the passage of time, the disasters are getting common. But the interesting part is that these are not because of the reasons we think. Floods and storms have led to many and many worse disasters. It is always expected to blame global warming for all these. The rates of flood and storm like disasters have gone up to nearby 7% in recent decades which was at its extent during the period 2K to 2K7 when it was nearly 8%. The data says that around 75 - 80 % of the people affected by natural disasters in the year 2007 were affected by flood.

We generally blame the climatic changes for these disasters. But there is another bitter truth out there according to the recent news. And it's that : We are getting the most disastrous part of weather mostly because of where we live, not just how we live.

It is found that the people in recent decades have moved to the places near water in mass. The population of Miami-Dade have rised to nearly 1600% from 1930 to last decade. Especially the population of coastal areas has been found to have more changes in their rates. For having more detailed information just go through this link which is exclusively from the national oceanic and atmospheric administration.

Above all, the historical weather datas doesn't show any effect of climate change on the intensities of storms. And if any effect has been seen, then that is much much smaller than the development along the coastlines. The changes that have been seen till now are what we have put in the way of storms. Mass near the coastal lines put us at a certain level of risk always. Firstly, due to gridlock, it is not possible exactly to evacuate the place. Also the developing places don't get early warnings generally, of the disasters going to happen, like the countries America etc. get. Thats why, there's been a more natural disasters in Continents like Asia than In America.

"Human beings have been clearing away our best protections all over the world"- This was said by Kathleen Tierney, the director of NHC (Natural Hazards Center) at the University of Colorado, Boulder. Also she said, "The natural protections are diminishing.... whether you are talking about mangrove forests in areas affected by the Indian Ocean tsunami, wetlands in the Gulf Coast or forests, which offer protection against landslides and mudslides."

But these all doesn't mean we are now hopeless and nothing can be done to protect us now. Good news is that, enacting building codes that are meaningful and by avoiding to keep insurance premiums artificially low in flood zones, would be definitely helpful in getting a bit of releif from these worse happenings.

GW : Effects of "non-linearity" in global warming

Non-Linearity in global warming :

If we continue to increase the emission of carbon as we are doing today, then this will lead to an increase in the global warming across the world whose curve will be definitely an exponential line which will further lead to much more climate change / unit of pollution. This non-linearity has been seen in the climate recently over the last decade.


The after effects of non-linearity :

The first question coming to mind is that how quickly this non-linearity will change the climate, which is also the keen interest of the weather scientists coz they generally emphasize on the ecosystem collapse scenarios. Climatic changes can happen due to many different ways like permafrost melt, Arctic albedo change and rainforest dieback or in conjunction with land degradation, water scarcity, ocean decline and persistent toxics.

It really matters a lot at what pace the level of water in oceans are rising, or where and how the forest burns are occuring. What we are currently doing and what we will be doing next will be definitely having profound impacts in determining the climate change pace in upcoming times and also the value of risks vs costs for the future times.

The non- linearities in the climate change must be carefully watched and also the threshold points beyond which the non-linearities occur and can cause damage must be carefully noted. This will be helpful in determining the possibilities of the environment in future.

The blog of climate change is exclusively interested in knowing about how quickly the climate is changing and not on the doomsday scenarios because they are just fun, and leads to massive funding amongst which none are true.

GW-ND : Artificial Weather Manipulation (AWM) - facts & outcomes

Artificial Weather Manipulation :

Something that will be fruitful in changing the human civilization, that will be beneficial in agriculture, relief from droughts, floods and in avoiding typhoons and cyclones. Taking on the other way, it can also create artificial droughts, floods, cyclones, typhoons etc., which will be further helpful in devastating enemies.



More on AWM :

In Hindu mythology or any ancient mythology and religions, we have already seen the creation of floods, cyclones etc. by our almighty gods. But Scientists are Trying to implement that process this time too i.e. "weather control", till now which is just next to impossible. Many experts have predicted that the wars by many countries are nothing but just the demo of their weather control capabilities.

Recently our scientists have started unveiling the actual methods of weather control. Methods like Cloud-top seeding are a bit distracting for people, as for this, temp range of -5 to -10 deg cel. is required with an altitude range of 15000-22000 ft. This method involves dropping of silver iodide flares into the growing cloud turrets with further placement of resulting seeding agent to the super cooled clouds.

More modern method involves artificial ionization of ionosphere between 15000-30000 ft. with use of controlled solar-terrestrial interactions. The variation in the ionosphere can lead to nice grip on the weather control. Controlling the ionosphere can be done by high power transmitter or by operation of high frequency antenna array.

Recent indications shows that solar flares and radiations are directly responsible for climatic changes on planet earth, which are further due to Bombardment of cosmic rays on the sun from different sources.